Negative Oil Futures Price Creates Confusion
Headlines had oil selling at -$37.63 per barrel at close on Monday, April 20. The negative sign in front? Sellers had to pay buyers $37.63 to take the oil off their hands. Except this wasn’t the price of oil. It was the price of a useful financial instrument, called a futures contract, in this case a contract for delivery of oil in May at a particular price.READ MORE
Why The Recent Strength Has Bulls Smiling
The huge equity rally continued last week, with the S&P 500 Index up another 3%, on the heels of adding more than 15% in the previous week. The gain during the past two weeks of 15.5% was the greatest since October 1974. Taking it a step further, the 15 trading days ending April 14 saw the S&P 500 up more than 27%, one of the greatest rallies ever. What we’ve been seeing is truly historic, so the big question now is: What could happen next?READ MORE
Did Fixed Income ETFs Pass Their Test?
The fastest bear market decline ever and accompanying disruptions in credit markets in March provided a tough test for exchange-traded funds (ETFs). With a big assist from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which announced it would purchase fixed income ETFs, and increasing optimism around an economic rebound, fixed income ETFs seem to be functioning normally again.READ MORE
What Might Future Bond Returns Look Like?
Stock returns get all the headlines, and with US equities entering their first bear market since 2008, there is good reason for that. However, fixed income may account for a significant portion, or even a majority, of many investors’ portfolios, making bond returns just as important for those investors.READ MORE
Will the Fed’s Bold Moves Keep Yields from Rising?
With the major stock market indexes all entering a bear market this month, it’s no surprise that stocks have stolen most of the spotlight. However, actions taken by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to support what may be considered the safest part of the bond market, US Treasuries, may actually have more lasting implications for investors’ portfolios.READ MORE
Making Sense of Skyrocketing Jobless Claims
Weekly new jobless claims were reported this morning, and to no one’s surprise they rose to levels thought unimaginable just a few weeks ago. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, 3.3 million people filed new claims for unemployment benefits in the week ending March 21, almost 5 times the previous high of 695,000 set in 1982.READ MORE